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MSNBC
Nov 4, 2012 1:00am PDT
. collectively i've been calling them flohva. until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical tie and nbc news has it's own coming out tomorrow morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. noern half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. the president will have visited the sunshine state 14 times, for mitt romney it's 16. president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. so let's get to our special panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker, wcmh and larry sabado. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time it was the closest to the country, the national popular vote. it was the one point off if you will of what obama -- mccain's numbers were, does the winner of the popular vote win virginia, larry? >> i think virginia is very very, close, chuck. i think you could argue that vir
FOX News
Nov 3, 2012 2:00pm EDT
state polls continue to show obama with a, some advantages in the electoral votes, so, i think both sides are looking at the polls and seeing hope. >> dan, let's step back briefly here, how important is this election? we always say the elections are the most important in x years, but i think this is the most important election since ronald reagan certainly in terms of setting the direction of the country and validating or not the huge expansion of government that barack obama has promoted in the first term. >> i agree, paul. i mean, historically the country is divided in the past century between the private economy and the public government. and there's always been a division of duties there. barack obama is trying to take spending from 20% of grosse pointe woods over the last 25 years up to about 23%. >> paul: for the starters. >> for starters and plus, make the federal government the lead role in the direction of the economy in a way that no previous president has ever done and i think that that is the decision the american people have to decide is whether they want washington, th
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 4:00pm PDT
numbers. in wisconsin our new nbc news/"wall street journal"/maris poll shows obama with a three-point lead. in new hampshire our poll has the president two points ahead. in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] ...without swanson. the broth cooks trust most when making soup. mmmm! [ female announcer ] the secret is swanson. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense of, you know, how difficult this is going to be for a lot, a lot of people. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was president obama earlier today. voters are overwhelmingly supportive of his handling
NBC
Oct 31, 2012 11:00pm EDT
president obama, 48-47%. while a new gallop poll shows a majority of americans think president obama will win reelection. >> hundreds of voters waited in the dark and the cold tonight to help decide the presidential race and weigh in on three big issues in maryland. early voting resumes in maryland after sandy. lines wrapped around buildings this afternoon. some people waited three hours to vote. early voting in maryland will be extended until friday and polling places will stay open until 9:00 p.m. >> coming up tonight, a traffic nightmare up in new york as they struggle to get back to a normal day after the hurricane. >> one man wanted for three attacks in our area. >> heightened police presence this halloween. we are live as super heroes and goblins are on the streets of georgetown. >>> investigators are looking for 25-year-old lawrence stuart, ii. he is suspected of throwing homemade pipe bombs into three different houses in staff ford county and in fredericksburg, yesterday. his intended targets were his exgirlfriend and two police officers who previously had arrested him for in
FOX News
Oct 26, 2012 10:00pm EDT
, waiverring in wisconsin. president obama losing his lock on cheese country. a new poll shows the president and governor romney tied in wisconsin. is this a sign voters in the midwest are shifting stu port to governor romney budget any? >> wisconsin. this is important now. wisconsin 49-49 and you go back to 2008, obama carried wisconsin 56-42. >> something big is happening in wisconsin and there is stuff happening in oregon and stuff happening in iowa and there is stuff happening in iowa, ohio. and there is stuff happening in north carolina. there is stuff happening all over the place and the obama regime is looking smaller and smaller and smaller as they react to it. >> we have created 5.2 million jobs over 32 months. what is mitt romney's plan? he has is no plan. that is what the american people should be focused on. >> this is a huge election and we can't afford four more years of this and we have a big choice in front of us. go on with the broken promises not just on the economy but on the deficit and on social security and medicare. >> and the president's bigger promise to un
MSNBC
Oct 29, 2012 11:00am EDT
"washington post" poll has obama hanging onto the four-point lead and philadelphia enquirer, 49/42. two different polls here. minnesota is truly a 50/50 race right now. is that going to impact everything like doug is saying? they can't get accurate figures to know where they're up or down? >> it may. even though one of the super-pacs supporting romney is now advertising in pennsylvania trying to expand the map a little bit, we're not going to likely see mitt romney go to places like minnesota or pennsylvania. they're really going to double-down on about seven swing states, and he's right that we won't be able to see what's going to happen over the next week because the polling is going to be fairly messed up. so we're just going to have to wait and see, thomas. i think the obama campaign feels that they are ahead in the states that motor like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. so as far as it's concerned right now, mitt romney has to go to those states and hang out there until election day. >> iowa came out over the weekend, "the des moines register" it to endorse mitt romney. they haven't
FOX News
Oct 31, 2012 3:00pm EDT
new polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a sign they think the playing field is expanding beyond the seven states that have been hotly contested and present the romney campaign opportunity to put obama on defense and have the offense ease the path to 270. very, very close, six days left, polls suggest everything is tight and no way to know who has the edge. so, no time for napping, either. >>shepard: i was hoping you got a nap while everyone else was working. >>carl: not a chance. romney is staying busy. >>shepard: thank you, carl cameron. massive gridlock around new york city, 4.3 million people use the subways and there is no subway. commuters returned to w
NBC
Nov 4, 2012 10:30am PST
. most in the polls blame george w. bush more than barack obama for the way conditions were when he came in. when ask you are we better off now than four years ago, people remember four years ago the economy was going off a cliff and largely don't blame the president for that. and i think the second part is back to what john was saying. demographics is destiny. a lot more now than it has been in the past. and we have to almost throw out the conventional wisdom that it's things like the jobs numbers that matter. when you look at the demographics of this race, the president has such a commanding lead among african-americans. among hispanics. that it counterbalances mitt romney's lead among older white voters. and it makes it very difficult. if the electorate is still something like 26% minority, barack obama -- chris: i got to get the romney side. the burden, the remoteness, the fact that not even 30% of the people think he connects with their real lives. >> that's his problem. that's his problem. when you look at the polls over and over again, who is the person that understands my problem
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 2:00am EDT
ohio a brand new cnn poll shows president obama with a 3-point lead over mitt romney, but it is the all-important 50% marker, so it's 50%/47%. good for obama. in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we've gotten to the point in this campaign where you count hours, not days, and in this remaining precious time, you can tell where barack obama and mitt romney think this race will be won or lost. just take a look at their travel schedules through election day. for the president, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, and florida, of course. for governor romney, those same seven states plus his newly contested edition. he's go
KICU
Oct 28, 2012 1:30am PDT
us ... polls showing obama up and romney down ... and vice-versa ... may be confusing many voters. ">>>(nat sound of fans chanting"giants") monday was the third and final presidential debate...but many people like ezequiel landaverde say watching the giants...comes first. (ezequiel landaverde/giants fan):"it's game seven, it's a huge game. another debate really isn't gunna do much for me." for some people, sports isn't the only reason the debates did not generate interest. polls and questionable facts are playing a role. (gao her/social work alumn):"with different numbers being thrown all the time...it's confusing." and she is not alone. political experts say this election is full of numbers. (dr. melinda jackson/political expert):"each candidate brought his own set of facts to the table, and that does make it very confusing for voters." and the polls keep changing every day. (dr. melinda jackson/political expert): "you know the media is always looking for a good story and so everyday we have these headlines...oh romney's up two points, oh obama's up four points...and so that's wh
ABC
Nov 2, 2012 5:30pm PDT
polls of early voters in battleground states suggest their bank of obama votes means romney will have to win on election day well more than half the votes in key states to win. but the president is not relying solely on early voting or even on this new rekindled bipartisan pitch. in this state alone, diane, president obama and his allies have run 16,000 more ads than romney and his allies. and if that's not enough for you, on monday, president obama will be back here in ohio with bruce springsteen. diane? >> okay, thank you, jake. >>> and also tonight, the latest in our brand new daily abc news/"washington post" polls. tonight, the poll gives mitt romney a one-point edge. so, we asked abc's david muir to tell us his strategy for the final sprint. >> reporter: mitt romney bolting through the battlegrounds. today, on the campaign plane, it was the candidate taking pictures. romney capturing images of his staff sneaking a nap, as romney faces to the finish. in just the last 24 hours, virginia -- >> virginia, we're going to win on november 6th, i'll tell you that. >> reporter: wisconsin.
FOX News
Oct 31, 2012 12:00am EDT
a significant margin. >> my own polling in florida in the i-4 corridor confirms. the obama campaign knows florida is moving away from them. >> sean: so they'll leave. >> they know they can win the election without it. they're sober-minded. >> sean: so they send bill clinton to minnesota and biden to pennsylvania? >> sean, i've been saying the states not poisoned with all the money are in play. pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota. >> sean: now comes the poison. >> this is a tied election, sean, as we sit here tonight. bottom line, unless romney gets back on the offensive, makes the case for his election, he will not be president. all right. he did the right thing today, but you know what? unless he's on the offensive by the end of the day tomorrow, certainly thursday, he's in
FOX News
Oct 30, 2012 9:00pm PDT
ohio. if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll sho
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 3:00pm PDT
obama in virginia. so if these polls prove right, the president edges out in the swing states and is re-elected? >> exactly. and i would look at iowa and wisconsin. romney has to win one of those states. if he wins ohio, then he has a shot. if he can't get ohio, he still has a plausible path if he can get wisconsin. what has to be really troubling to the romney campaign is we're seeing more and more polling in those states and they are not moving in his direction and the president's turnout particularly in ohio has been very strong, very robust. so i think those two states in particular are going to prove and looking at florida and virginia, i still think the president has a very strong chance to win in florida and my home state of virginia as well. i think they could also end up in the blue column. >> well, they have to let everybody vote but i'll get to that later on in the program. alicia, the economic argument where you talked about the jobs numbers and that's what the romney people have to say, well, a lot of that was based on how people felt about the economy. but there's been
FOX News
Nov 1, 2012 3:00pm PDT
politics average for latest polls barack obama 50% to romney 45%. but boy, you hear the republicans talk about it. it seems closer than that. >> yeah, if mitt romney wins wisconsin by half a point he will be glad he picked punish ryan as the running mate. but it's a tough lift for republicans. they have had the string of victory, huge victory in 2010. a big recall victory that got ryan on the ticket. they're very organized, the republican base is motivated in wisconsin. but they are fighting a lot of history. this is the only state among the top nine battleground that voted democratic six elections in a row. obama won it by 14 points last time around. so there is a scramble for wisconsin, president obama will be here three times in the final week of the electio election. romney will be back tomorrow. is iit is his first visit since august. that is one question lurking here, you know, republicans senseed some mixed signals about their confidence in wisconsin. they have not flooded the zone here with the candidates the way george w. bush did in 2004. but we certainly expect a close an
FOX News
Nov 1, 2012 9:00pm EDT
obama. the polls are showing that mitt is going ahead in ohio, rasmussen shows he's the most reliable guy. the other pole polls that show mitt mind are sampled in favor of democrats. but gallup's overall national poll, early voting, mitt's ahead by 7 and 6 points respectively. if you have a national margin that great. ohio will be swept through. ohio is a major republican state. can you thinkham pointed out, the only time it went for a democrat is when you had a lacklasture republican presidential candidate, which we do not have this time. romney is strong, joe. >> you know, sean -- wait. david, let's look at the reality. let's look at where they have been. yesterday, romney spends all day on three stops in florida, a state that should be a done deal. by the way -- and then obama spends all day today in wisconsin, a state he would have thought would have been locked down by now. just their two schedules alone show you -- you know, how tight this is and that they are both trying to lock down states like florida and wisconsin that should have been in the bag for either one of them aircr
CNN
Oct 27, 2012 2:00am EDT
. >>> obama's ohio fire wall. cnn is out with a new poll in the state tonight with the the president leading mitt romney 50-46 and that's unchange frd the last cnn poll in ohio taken just avenue the first debate. john king has been looking at the latest numbers. what else does it tell you? >> it's important to look at this poll. thest a small lead. that's yet another poll the president's kept that narrow lead in ohio. you mentioned the horse race. here's one of the biggest factors. in a battleground state like this, the president's getting the democrats, romney's getting a republicans, the candidate who wins among independents is likely to win. that is critical the watch in the last week to election day. there's also an age divide. it's important as well. you see a huge leap for the president. 56-38, among voters under 50. that's an important part of his constituency. republicans need the older voters by 2i-46. governor romney would like that to be bigger. there's also a racial and gender gap, if you will. i want to put it this way. the president is, if he is above 40% in the white v
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 3:00pm PDT
responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail as saying, democrats lov
CNN
Nov 3, 2012 6:00pm EDT
? >> wolf, you know, our poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground operation. so that's what going on in the end. it's going to come down to turnout. this is a base election. and that's what both campaigns are doing right now is getting their people to vote early, either the obama campaign is doing their famous souls to the polls push tomorrow morning after churches. that's what we're looking at now. >> peter doing some good reporting for us in clumus ohio. still to come, more on the race for the white house. we've got a lot more on the race for the white house. >>> we're also following the aftermath of the superstorm sandy, four days in a shelter with no shower. we'
Current
Oct 31, 2012 3:00am PDT
we saw for john mccain in 2008. state polls are closing in. obama has at times lead romney by as many as 9 points in pennsylvania, now he leads by just 3. nationally the president is up 48-47, that is according to the new "new york times" cbs news poll. but the survey was conducted before hurricane sandy hit. obama has had a strong response to that storm, so we could see that have a positive effect for him in the polls. obama is still up in ohio but it's a much tighter race in virginia and florida. the president now with 253 votes and romney with 206. more bill press right after the break. ♪ now? kind of guys who do like reverse mortgage commercials? those types are coming on to me all of the time now. >> she gets the comedians laughing... >> that's hilarious! >> ...and the thinkers, thinking. >> okay, so there is wiggle-room in the ten commandments, is what you're telling me. >> she's joy behar. >> and the best part is that current will let me say anything. >> what the hell were they thinking? >> only on current tv. brought to you by geico. 15 minutes could save you 15% or more on
CNBC
Oct 29, 2012 1:00pm EDT
news poll showed mitt romney 49%-brah 49%-barack obama 48%. another poll shows pro seciselye opposite. obama 48%. but they're the same poll. with a margin of error, we have essentially a tie race but the obama team believes that their advantage is in the battleground states like iowa, states like nevada, states like ohio that mitt romney needs and we'll see whether they are right. but as of now, it appears unlikely that things are going to move very much over the next couple of days because romney's canceled campaign events tomorrow, so has the president. >> when we talk about the sort of being a dead heat in the popular vote, what do we know about the way the electoral vote may be breaking one way or another, given the way the polls have gone in the past week or so. >> the electoral vote count is what i was talking about with respect to the battleground states. the president has more states where he is either securely ahead or leaning his way than mitt romney does, and so he's got less distance to make up to the finish line in the electoral battlegrounds. for example, mitt romney's l
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 5:00pm EDT
we enter the final week of the complain. in ohio a brand new cnn poll shows president obama with a three-point lead over mitt romney, but is it the all-important 50% marker so it's 50%, 47%. good for obama. in a new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%, 43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. ♪ so you went right back to the pathfinder's essence, kept its dna, and created the next-gen s.u.v. starting with a drivetrain that gives best-in-class fuel economy of 26 miles per gallon, highway... ♪ ...and intuitive 4-wheel drive? ♪ if inside it had best-in-class front, head, and leg room and interior roominess? and outside, best-in-class standard towing of 5,000 pounds? ♪ [ whistles ] [ all scream, laugh ] [ male a
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 7:00am PDT
about us. that helps explain why even when president obama's poll numbers after that denver debate, they were looking a little shaky. they held up pretty well in ohio. you look at it and think, that has got to be the auto rescue. >> the latest nbc marist poll is showing that the president is holding a fairly sizeable lead in ohio, about six points at this point. most folks are indicating that's because he has a better margin with white male voters in ohio than he does anywhere else in the country at this time. that's probably related to the cars. i want to bring in ari melber for a moment. we were chatting about this before. this is one time when maybe progress sives are down with a corporation spending money on political ads. >> we have had a lot of talk about speech and corporate personhood and these interesting doctrinal questions. if you want to say corporations shouldn't have the free speech and spending rights that others have, you wouldn't have them able to come out and robustly engage in the political process. they are free under current law to speak close to an election wh
FOX News
Nov 3, 2012 1:00pm PDT
have already voted. exit polls showing there, obama is in favor with those early voters. ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what we've seen. every day is now election day. >> with some states continuing early voting really right up to election day, we'll learn which party benefited. however, both president obama and governor romney say that they have the advantage with early voters. so both of them continue to encourage their base to get out and vote early. gregg, back to you. >> gregg: elizabeth, thanks very much. stick with fox news election night. complete coverage beginning here on the fox news channel at 6:00 p.m. tuesday with megyn
ABC
Nov 2, 2012 6:00pm EDT
i would today. joe biden went to wisconsin. but the top two were both in ohio. the latest polls show president obama with a slight lead there, but neither side is ready to call it over. it is the chance at being heard across mitt romney land. >> four more days. >> it is time. >> both sides are counting the days between now and tuesday. barack obama was greeted with chants of "four more years." he reminded the crowd. >> in four days, you have a choice to make. it is not between two party is orwo candidates. it is a choice between two different visions for america. >> the obama campaign says unemployment went up because more people are re-entering the job market, newly optimistic about jobs being created. >> the american auto industry is back on top. home values are on the rise. >> but mitt romney was quick to insist not enough new jobs are being created to energize the still is the candidate who knows how. >> i will have a lot of people offering advice, and i know a lot about it myself to begin with. >> virginia remains one of the most coveted prizes to win on tuesday. barack oba
FOX News
Oct 31, 2012 6:00pm PDT
obama won -- there is a 16-point swing in many of these polls. is that the difference? >> it is the difference. if you go to some of the battleground states, independents by definition are going to pick the winner of that state. that is huge. i think the other thing that not talked about enough, generation gap. a whole lot of attention about the young voters. that are going to vote for president obama but don't know how many will show up. seniors are leaning toward governor romney and enthusiasm is way up compared to 2008. >> sean: if you look at the independents and add the intensity and you add new republican voters you have a formula for success, at least for governor romney. now, we have to go state by state. this is an electoral college vote. do you see a scenario in which romney would win a popular voted and lose the electoral college? >> it is possible. i think for that to happen, romney would have to win the popular vote by less than one point. it could extend a little more than that. >> sean: let's go to florida. interesting poll i found because of the i-4 corridor is where
NBC
Nov 1, 2012 4:00am PDT
of the latest national polls out there, gives president obama just a one percentage point lead nationally. that is a tie as the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail. polls show him up by six in iowa, two in wisconsin and two in new hampshire, but this week he's focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape, we are not going to tolerate bureaucracy. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival governor chris christie. >> i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state. there will be some folks who will criticize me for complimenting him. well, you know what, i speak the truth. >> reporter: analysts say the president's picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary, socialist person, that he's somebody who can be trusted. >> reporter: in florida, governor romney criticized the administration's record helping small business. >> sometimes, regulators seem to look at busine
CNN
Nov 3, 2012 2:00am EDT
has that in the obama category, but the president's lead has been shrinking and polls show president obama had been up as much 11 and 1 points over the summer and fall, but in a quinnipiac poll, he was only up by four. paul and ryan along with john avlon in toledo, ohio. romney has outspent the president in pennsylvania since he became the nominee. i saw this. i was stunned when our producer looked at these numbers. of the 15 million total, just in this week alone. is this money well spent? >> i think it makes a lot of sense for this reason. now, it's true that ohio might be a tighter state, but the question is, it's the marginal benefit. mitt romney spent a ton of time in ohio and if spending an additional few hours as we get closer to the election could make a big difference in pennsylvania given he has spent far less time in that state, that's what you've got to think about. real additional hours in ohio make that much of a difference there, where as in pennsylvania, it could be a difference in defeat. it's 20 electoral votes versus 20 in ohio. this could really scramble the map.
FOX Business
Oct 31, 2012 7:00pm EDT
interesting, compare, poll, polls for today, that poll to 2004, 2008, 2008, at this juncture, president then senator obama was running six and a half points ahead of senator mccain, in 2004, bush had a one and a half point lead on senator kerry, is that instructive or just sort of an amusing glimpse at history. >> political junkies, heard those were margins of 2004, and 8 for those who like to say national polling does not amount to much this is accurate. it is the state by state polls, that is less productive. but i make a basic point about the storm, i know a lot of democrats, if you go to liberal blogs, they are all holding hands, say it will be okay, they are trying to make a political point to of the way that president is responding to the hurricane. the average american, looks at what happened on east coast, they see a human tragedy, they do not see a political proving ground, all these dc pundits who are trying to make a political moment out of obama in new jersey or obama reaction, they are so disconnected from the way that american people are engaging this human tragedy. they do not see it as a littl
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 4:00am PDT
presidency. and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every eight ohioans has a connection to the auto industry. president obama also touting what he called an economy that is in recovery. he referenced friday's jobs report to do it. take a listen. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars, and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned the company's hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> president obama has a frenetic campaign today straight through election day today, alex. he will make stops in wisc
NBC
Nov 4, 2012 8:00am PST
obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north carolina, he'll have to carry election day by a huge margin, and we think we'll do very well with election day voters. we're in i think a commanding position, but our big challenge is to make sure we execute and get our vote out. and that's what we're spending all of our time on. >> let me ask you about a couple of issues here in the final stretch. the arguments from governor romney boil down to the economy and the unemployment rate higher than when the president took office. here's governor romney last night. >> he said he would bring the unemployment rate down to 5.2% by now. and we just learned on friday it's 7.9%. it is nine million
CNN
Nov 1, 2012 6:00am PDT
points. you talk to the obama campaign, certainly they're pointing to the marquette poll. they want this appearance that they're doing very well and just trying to hold their lead here. it seems more likely that their internal polls are somewhere in between those two polls, carol. something also interesting today when the president speaks, ahead of him charles woodson, safety for the green bay packers, will be firing up crowd. you know folks here in green bay love the packers. he is a safety. what does the safety do? the safety protects against long passes -- that's right, the hail mary. that's something that the obama campaign is trying to do here in wisconsin. >> that makes me wonder, that long line behind you, are they waiting to see charles woodson or president obama? >> reporter: you know, it's hard to tell. but, yeah, i think the crowd is here to see both of them. obviously this is a crowd of supporters of president obama. very dedicated, i have to say. it is freezing cold here. and they are lined up. there is a ton of people you can't even see off camera. and they are ready f
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
polls. there were two ties and obama led in 17. that's not what we were seeing two weeks ago where romney pulled ahead in virginia and colorado and florida and had drown ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. i'm not sure how the hurricane is playing for him, but his numbers ticked up. that's why the states that seem toss uppy seem like they are more firmly in the president's favor. >> let me ask you, and i didn't warn you i was going to ask you this, but you have been the subject of a lot of criticism in this last week in particular as if the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biased or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> it's been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and there's this celebrity level attached to it that's new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same thing that we do. they all show basi
MSNBC
Oct 28, 2012 3:00pm EDT
. >> the latest poll, alex. "washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democ
Current
Nov 2, 2012 11:00pm PDT
: well according to most polls and surveys, president obama and governor romney are in a dead heat for the election. but survey monkey does have useful and unusually insights on the race. dave goldberg joins us, great to have you on the show. >> thanks. >> gavin: you're suggesting that the swing states are tighter than some of the other sort of the blended averages of the other polls. >> what we're seeing right now the swing states are very tight. right now, you know, we're showing most of the same toss up states. we're showing romney lightly ahead in ohio. but we're showing obama ahead in virginia. these are within the margin of error, plus or minus 1%. the national number which has been consistent, we show obama .8%. what we're seeing is some places are very different. florida, we have consistently felt solid romney for a long time. a lot of people still have that as a toss up. >> gavin: this last week's poll that shows obama lead. >> yes yes. i think the race is closer than some of the pollsters and pundits say. i think it's too close to call. i don't think we would say that obama i
FOX
Nov 4, 2012 7:00am PST
. >> a new poll shows president obama with a 54-39% lead in california. we posted more information about next tuesday's vote just go to ktvu.com click on the 2012 election tab. >>> oakland police are investigating a shooting overnight in the fruitvale district that injured one person. it happened around 1:30 this morning at 28th avenue and east 17th street. officers say the victim was smoking a cigarette outside an apartment complex when someone fired a goes rounds. the victim was hit three times and transported to the hospital. police say they do not have the gunman in custody. >>> a south bay woman is in grief for her son who is the latest homicide victim in san jose. at least 50 people turned out for a candle light vigil to remember robert agulto. he left behind a one and three- year-old child. >> i heard that he was fighting with somebody and that person pulled out the gun and shot him in the head. >> police have not arrested anyone but they say that they have witnesses in the case. it was the 47th homicide in the year. >>> jury deliberations resume tomorrow in connection to a south
NBC
Nov 4, 2012 1:30am EDT
and it seems complicated but the fact that obama's been ahead in almost all of the polls in ohio by two or three points that holds up more oen if than you think. historically means you have 80% chance of winning the election. we are looking at history to guide our estimate of the odds for tuesday. >> much of your book focuses on the ability to plan accurately. what's your take on the issues this week? the aftermath of sandy, the devastation, jobs report before election day, on the state of the race? >> i should say this hurricane, by the way, was predicted very well. where about four or five days in advance they forecast it would barrel in to southern new jersey, as it did and have a severe storm surge. it's a real triumph for science in some ways, as well as a human tragedy. i think the jobs report on friday was a decent number. nothing game changing, though. you don't have anything that i think would cause numbers to shift back toward romney at the last minute. usually when we have news that is kind of real crisis-type environments like hurricane sandy, the incumbent president is
ABC
Oct 31, 2012 6:00pm PDT
barack obama a three to five-point lead in each of the polls. at the same time, mitt romney's campaign is buying ads in pennsylvania and minnesota and michigan. states thought to be firmly in the blue state column. at his first rally in the aftermath of sandy, mitt romney steered clear of any direct attacks on the president. but it was clear the political winds are picking back up. >> i don't just talk about change, i actually have a plan to execute change and to make it happen. >> romney was joined by former are florida governor jeb bush who downplayed the president's role in responding to the storm. >> my experience in this emergency response business is that it is the low he cal level and state level that really matters. >> for the romney campaign, a delicate balancing act. travel both president today is new jersey governor chris christie, one of romneys staunchest supporters and there he was traveling with the president. >> i think this is our sixth conversation since the weekend and it has been a great working relationship. >> reporter: as president obama picks up points for his r
FOX Business
Nov 1, 2012 9:20am EDT
, to the election, and the latest fox news poll is outt here it is, it has president obama and governor romney in a dead heat. 46-46. and recent quinnipiac new york times, cbs news poll shows a president with a 5 point lead in ohio. karl rove questions the validity of that particular poll. he says, quote, that survey gives democrats a plus 8 advantage in turnout. the same advantage democrats had in 2008. that assumption, writes karl rove, is to put it gently, absurd. joining us from the weekly starred, kelly jane, is karl rove on to something, do you think? >> possibly. you know, i have to admit i have trouble understanding this obsession that pollsters and pundits have with the numbers and kind of reminds me when i was a kid and couldn't wait until december 25th to see what i got for christmas and wrapped a little of the gift. nobody wants to wait a week and everybody has to know what's going on now. stuart: if you look at things now. the romney camp have to admit the momentum they the got falling the debates has stalled and they're actually in a dead heat. my point is, the mo
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 2:00am PDT
washington. tracy, good morning. >> lynn, one of the latest national polls out there give president obama just a 1%age point lead nationally. that is a tie. the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail today. new nbc poll show him ahead by six in iowa, three in wisconsin, and two in new hampshire. but this week he focused on new jersey. >> we're not going to tolerate red patape. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival chris christie. >> i can not thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state. there will be some folks who criticize me for complimenting him. well, you know what? i speak the truth. >> reporter: the president is picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary, socialist person. he is somebody who can be trusted. >> reporter: in florida, governor romney criticized the administration's record helping small business. >> sometimes regulators seem to look at businesses like they're the enemy. >>
FOX News
Oct 31, 2012 8:00am PDT
polling average showing president obama up three points in michigan. bill ballenger is back with us now to talk about what's going on in michigan. so, bill, how do these polls compare to what we've seen over the last couple weeks? >> they're tighter. mitt romney has pulled within shouting distance of the president. this is very much like 2004, john kerry led bush by about this margin, about 3% about a week out, and john kerry actually ended up winning michigan by about that margin, but the bush campaign had kerry so worried that he came in to michigan on sunday before the election to campaign. the difference this time around is neither candidate has come to michigan personally since early summer. jenna: and, bill, that was something you brought up to us a couple weeks ago. you said, listen, it's very important that both candidates get on the ground in michigan, and neither have. what do you make of that? >> well, i don't think obama has felt he needs to get here. i think the obama campaign has been pretty confident they already have michigan wrapped up. i think romney, to win, would
FOX News
Oct 31, 2012 8:00pm PDT
. fox news analyst carl rove. mr. rove, new "new york times" poll out today shows president obama doing very well in florida, ohio, virginia. dick morris going to have thoughts on that later. but, do you take that poll seriously? >> no, i don't take those three polls seriously. here is why. in florida, they have obama ahead by 1 point. they have seven points more democrats than republicans. even in 2008 there were only 3 points more democrats than republicans. similarly ohio 5 point margin for obama. 8 point advantage for the democrats. 8 points in 2008. does anybody think ohio is going to be as democrat as it was in 2008. 2 points for obama. 8 point democrat in 2008. six points democrat. does anybody think it's going to be as good as it was in .008. at mildly that's called absurd. >> bill: let me run it down for the folks. all the polls say, all of them say that prib voters are more motivated this time around. so when when mr. rove says do you think it's going to be the same democratic turnout in ohio as it was in 2008. the answer based on the data is no. because republicans are more m
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